russia losing kherson

Russia Losing Kherson - The Russian military is building a bridge over the Dnipro River in Kherson, according to a satellite image.

The Ukrainians have been shooting at the bridges, which may explain why the Russians are building bridge after bridge, a senior military official told reporters on Friday.

Russia Losing Kherson

"They are probably quite honestly asking how to cross the river and get back to Crimea," said a senior military official.

Civilians In Kherson Urged To Flee, A Sign That Russia Is Losing Control Of Land It Says To Have Annexed

A bridge under construction near the site of the destroyed bridge, USNI Associate H.I. Sutton tweeted Friday morning.

*** A fragment of the Russian bridge in Kherson, #Ukraine is now in place. Radar (SAR) satellite image from today. The old bridge is purple, the bridges are green. A previous report said a pontoon was being assembled in a nearby river #OSINT pic.twitter.com/s5LJSYd1fA — H I Sutton (@CovertShores) July 29, 2022

In the 156 days since the Russian invasion of Ukraine, there has been little movement of Rusyns by sea. There are about half a dozen Russian ships in Pontus, a senior military official said.

The ships stay away from the coast, which was a typical response of the Russian Navy when the Ukrainian RTS sank

Russia Announced Its Withdrawal From Kherson Without Losses

Last week, in a deal brokered by the United Nations and Turkey, Russia and Ukraine agreed to allow Ukraine to export grain from three ports, including Odesa.

Russia bombed Odesa within hours, but not grain facilities, the USNI said earlier.

Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky said that the first shipment of Ukrainian grain is ready to leave, the BBC reported on Friday. Speaking in Chornomorsk port, Zelensky said that the ship is waiting for a green light from the United Nations.

Before the ships could leave the ports, the U.N. they must approve a clear passage in Pontus. One of its challenges is that Ukraine is mining the sea near Odessa to prevent amphibious access, the USNI previously said. Kherson is one of the strategic regions located between the Crimean Peninsula and Eastern Ukraine. Russia's withdrawal could mean the end of Moscow's plan to reach Odessa and even further south into Ukraine.

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For centuries, the Dnieper River was part of an ancient trade route between the Mediterranean and the Baltic Sea, and was also considered a natural barrier between Russia and the Old West. In modern times, the river separates western Ukraine from its eastern part, which is densely populated by Russians.

Thus, the river crossing, which flows through the Ukrainian border before flowing into the Kherson Bridge area, was of more importance to the Russian forces.

For some Russian hardliners, crossing the Dnieper meant reviving dreams of reviving tsarist Russia - considered the country's golden age.

But in recent days, Russian troops have appeared to be slowly retreating from positions in the center of Kherson city on the banks of the Kherson River, prompting military analysts to second-guess Russia's true intentions. Kherson, a strategic region, forms a land bridge between the Russian-occupied peninsula and the Russian mainland.

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"Looking at the current operational situation, it makes sense for the Russians to control the eastern side of the river, where they have more ability to retreat and basically dig in and create more sustainable defensive positions," said defenseman Andreas Krieg. analyst. referring to Russia's withdrawal from Kherson.

Russia's new military chief, Sergei Surovikin, known for harsh aggression throughout his career, ordered a withdrawal from the regional capital to maintain control over the rest of Kherson.

Although part of Kherson lies east of the Dnieper River, it still serves Moscow's strategic goal of guarding the land bridge between Crimea and mainland Russia. But it could also end Russia's efforts to connect Crimea with the Ukrainian Pontus port of Odessa.

The Borysthenen River separated western Ukraine from the eastern part, which was heavily penetrated by the Russians. Moscow's retreat from the west bank of the river was intended to strengthen Russian forces on the east bank of the river. ( Elif Cansın Senol / )

U.s. Sees Opportunity For Ukraine To Capitalize On Russian Weakness

The Russians realized that in the long term, the center of the city of Kherson was likely to come under heavy fire and it would be "very difficult and expensive" for them to hold it because it was almost surrounded by Ukrainian forces, according to Krieg. senior lecturer of the school. Security Studies at King's College London, Royal College of Defense Studies.

But Kreig believes that it will also be very difficult for the Ukrainians to hold the city and advance further to the east bank of the river against Russian defenses.

"The Russians did not mention a word about withdrawal or withdrawal. They call it reintegration, which it really can be. This does not mean that the Russians are retreating very far to the east. They could just dig in on the east side of the river and make more sustainable defensive positions," says Kreig.

Kreig does not think that the Russian retreat from Kherson could be tactical, as it would be difficult to ever get them back into the western part of Kherson Oblast under the current circumstances.

Kherson Region Governor Slams Ukraine's Shelling Of Kherson As False Flag To Blame Russia

Even in Moscow, some powerful Ruthenians, such as Yevgeny Prigozhin, who heads Wagner's mercenary group, seem to recognize that the recapture of Kherson cannot be seen as a "victory step" for Russia. Explaining the retreat, he points out that "it is very important not to torture, not to argue in paranoia, but to draw conclusions and work on mistakes."

Abdullah Agar, a Turkish military analyst, sees Kherson's recovery as part of Russia's efforts to strike a balance between not losing troops and not losing the war with further land losses and logistical risks, citing reports that pointed to the Russians. they dug trenches on the west bank of the river.

Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdogan, who has been working to broker peace between Kiev and Moscow since the conflict began in February, said Russia's reception was "positive and important" as an opportunity to restart peace talks.

Agar believes that if the Russians really did withdraw from Kherson, it would have serious consequences for Moscow. For this reason, he doubts about returning from Kherson.

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"Russia's request to leave Kherson does not match the political demands that the Russians have made so far. The withdrawal order also does not match Putin's political views," says Agar.

"When Russia annexed Ukrainian territories weeks ago after illegal referendums, Putin declared that Kherson would remain Russian land forever," he says.

Russian President Vladimir Putin, second right, attends a ceremony with Airborne Forces Deputy Commander Anatoly Kontsevoya at the military training center for conscripts of the Western Military District in Russia's Ryazan region on Oct. 20. (Mikhail Klimentyev, Sputnik/AP)

Accordingly, Agar believes that Kherson's departure without surrendering to Moscow had "political consequences" that damaged Putin's position in the Kremlin. Kreig also believes that leaving Kherson would be a "great humiliation" for the Russians, both from a strategic and reputation point of view. Former Putin aide Sergei Markov has already described the recapture of Kherson as "Russia's biggest geopolitical defeat since the collapse of the Soviet Union."

In A Vital Turn, Russia Orders Its Troops To Retreat From Kherson City

"Russia leaving Kherson would also mean accepting Moscow's military defeat," says Agar. Russia does not call the attack on Ukraine an invasion, defining it as a "special military operation". During Russia's attack on Ukraine, Putin and his leaders, despite various setbacks, also remained adamant that everything was going according to plan.

Agar also believes that withdrawing from Kherson could slow down the Russian military, giving Ukraine more territory. The Russian withdrawal order, which was discussed by Surovikin and Defense Minister Sergei Shoigu, was disclosed in a telephone conversation in Russian media on Wednesday. Agar Lake found this act questionable.

Consequently, Agar, like some Ukrainians, believes that Russia's withdrawal could be a military ploy to lure Ukrainians into urban warfare in the center. "There are reports that the Russian army has deployed more than 40,000 soldiers in the middle of the city."

The military analyst also mentions the urban war in the coastal city of Mariupol, which cost both sides dearly, but in the end Ukraine was on the losing side as Russia's best fighters fell.

Heavy Fighting Threatens Ukraine Energy And Water Infrastructure

Krieg also believes that the city of Kherson would be an "immediate" retake for the weary Ukrainians, who have long pushed back against the Russians and made huge territorial gains. They would expose themselves to various dangers as the Russians would make it as difficult as possible for the Ukrainian to advance through the city center.

"It's not something the Ukrainians would probably do quickly and without hesitation. The Ukrainians themselves are tired. They don't want to get into a city war type situation," he said.

While Russia's withdrawal from Kherson represents a success for Ukraine, it remains to be seen to what extent Kiev's progress can be carried over.

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